Has Buffalo’s Super Bowl Window Closed?

Its time to really take a look at the Buffalo Bills and the closing of their Super Bowl window with Josh Allen. There are those that will argue but the front office did the same thing back in the 90s when they were going to the big game. They stopped trying to get blue chip talent and just leaned on those in tow. However if we go back to that time they had 5 Hall of Fame players where this incarnation has one…. Josh Allen and let others slip away.

Yes he is the reigning MVP but the way he played these last 8 years, yeah 8 years… he has taken 2 to 3 times the hits other quarterbacks have. The willingness to take on tacklers with his big body on planned running plays but his accuracy may get beat out of his body. Think back to Cam Newton and it was his 8th season (2018 / 6-8 record playing just 14 games) when the losses and injuries started to mount. The next year (for those who didn’t hit the link) he was 0-2 in the games he played and the bottom fell out for a (5-11) team who just 4 years before was 15-1, had an MVP Newton and playing in Super Bowl 50.

Well it was 4 years ago when Allen had his signature game in the 42-36 divisional loss to Kansas City. It was one of the NFL’s greatest games and we’re still clinging to that promise. The Bills fell in love with Allen as a cheat code where the passing windows aren’t open, Josh will take off and run or buy time to get them open.  Then there are the QB sweeps where we get to play 11 on 11 football. This gave the Bills a dimension to lean into other teams didn’t have the luxury of… but at what expense?

Stephon Diggs for one as he came back and lit up the Bills for 10 receptions 146 yards in spearheading a 23-20 win in Buffalo. It looked like an upset at the time but the 8-2 Patriots have Diggs leading the charge with 50 rec. 554yds/3Tds but most importantly he can get open with his quickness in a phone booth Drake Maye has grown to depend on. Allen used to have this as a part of his arsenal and has been scrambling for his life to get a “D” rate receiving corps time to get open. He looked like a beaten fighter at the end of the loss in Miami.

Where is the blue chip receiver the Bills should have acquired once Diggs departed?? Where are the blue chip defenders to make plays (forced fumbles / 3rd down sacks in key moments)?? My Bills just rely on schematically correct defense without any playmakers to change the momentum in a game. Same iwth the offense and I know they acquired Amari Cooper last year however, that is in his 14th year on his 4th team and his forte was never quickness to get open and provide a quick target.

Forgive me as we look at the graphic above but wasn’t Tyler Lockett available a few weeks ago?? Why not sign Lockett?? Trade for Rasheed Shaheed with New Orleans? There was so much more the Bills could have done but they kept relying on Josh to be Superman when he needs some Super Friends.

As he keeps taking all these hits the additional padding he will put on can change his throwing motion moving forward. This will be something to watch. This game has been played well over 100 years and the one thing we do know is a young QB will  use his legs and run when a play isn’t there. By their 5th year starting they have to evolve into almost strictly a passer and rely on guile reading defenses and audibling into the right play.

As a Bills fan The Chancellor doesn’t want to see this happen to Josh Allen but the writing is on the wall. The Bills are 6-3 and aside from the 28-21 win over the 5-4 Chiefs there isn’t another big win. Well you can count the 41-40 come from behind epic to start the season but the Bills had been manhandled much of the game and had some lucky bounces to come from 16 down to win it. That won’t happen a 2nd time and if we don’t catch the Patriots and win the division we’re going to be on the road in the playoffs. We’re 2-2 this year on the road with losses to Atlanta and Miami. Not against elite teams.

What no one is talking about is the punishment accumulation Josh Allen is taking along with the pressure to be Superman every game. We watched this ruin Cam Newton by year 8 a decade before and watched it happen in the 70s with Bert Jones for my old timers. It happened with Steve Young and so many others. Sure the loss to Miami was a division opponent and anything can happen but if you look at the tell tale signs something else was signaled with that loss in South Florida.

The Super Bowl window with this incarnation of the Bills has closed and a retooling has to happen.

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Plight of The 2025 Kansas City Chiefs

The 2025 Kansas City Chiefs look like the 1980 Pittsburgh Steelers. The dynasty ended while they’re players and coaches were still intact. People aren’t seeing them correctly due to suspended muscle memory.

Its like watching Mike Tyson fight after his incarceration. Yes he kept on winning but he wasn’t knocking prime fighters out in less than 2 rounds as we had become accustomed. 1997 Michael Tyson wasn’t 1988 Mike Tyson. Same with the 2025 Chiefs. Time has caught this dynasty. Taylor Blitz AFC West Preview had them finishing 9-8 and missing the playoffs just like that 1980 team.

Keep in mind their core players have played in 21 postseason games dating back to the 2018 season and everyone knows playoff football is amped much more than reguar season games. They haven’t had great records and were able to rest their players these last few years also.

Where does the wear and tear show up? All Pro DT Chris Jones for one looks warn out. Remember the loaf he had in the loss to Jacksonville on Trevor Lawrence’s last second touchdown run?

Let’s be honest, we haven’t seen him make a big play this season when he has been the Chiefs closer the last 7 years. He has a Pro Football Hall of Fame resume built on the multiple big play stops made in the biggest of games. He’s been the hungriest of lions on a defense that now leads the teams. In fact they should be a 4 time champion if it wasn’t for a bogus roughing the passer call in the 2018 AFC Championship Game. With a 21-17 lead on Brady’s Patriots they were hit with this bogus penalty after the Chiefs had roared back to take the lead.

Of course you can scoff that was 7 years ago and he was a younger hungrier player, but thats the point. The Chris Jones of old closed out many games when teams had a sliver of hope in the 4th quarter. Even after his press conference being called out earlier this year we were expecting him to return to the dominant 4th quarter defender thats defined his career. Same body… same number but the fire isn’t there.

Pundits have Patrick Mahomes and still argue he is the best quarterback in the NFL but a slow erosion has taken place. Last year he had to engineer 7 game winning drives in his 15 wins. His passing percentage was better in 2024 (64.5%) was better than his ’22 MVP season (64.1%) but it was for 1,282 less yards and a drop in TD passes by 15. The pack has caught up and last year the wolf was at the door where they had just enough to keep them at bay.

This team with a 5-4 record looks tired and they’ve been a great champion. They still have time to right the ship and mount another comeback but its a lot to expect from an older team after being on top for nearly a decade. Even Travis Kelce and his antics with Taylor Swift make him appear youthful, keep in mind he is running routes and getting hit in a 36 year old body. That is old in NFL years.

His dropoff to 3TDs in 2024 is glaring considering he averaged 11TDs the previous 3 years.

The clock struck midnight on this dynasty in the middle of Super Bowl week last year. They were two steps slow and the old knight couldn’t keep the young lion from taking their crown and fell hopelessly behind 34-0 in LIX when they were trying to 3Peat.

But alas Chiefs fans will say The Chancellor is hating but its the truth and all the cracks in the dynasty are there. You can sit with your brews as you did when an older Michael Tyson took on Evander Holyfield but just like that night…looks like Tyson.. shows flashes like the old Tyson but…. sigh look at this remaining schedule. Going to Mile High (7 game winning streak) and the Colts with NFL rushing leader Jonathan Taylor in these first 2?? Daunting task to say the least…

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SUPER BOWL XXXVI CHAMPION 2001 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

One of the NFL’s greatest dynasties was stolen from a team set to become one in the St Louis Rams. New England’s 20-17 upset win was a carbon copy of Bill Belichick’s Super Bowl XXV gameplan when the NY Giants beat the Buffalo Bills.

Stolen? Well there had been claims the Patriots recorded the Rams walk through giving them an illegal and unfair advantage. In a game of simulated war you’d have to suspect there would be espionage at play. The Patriots were fined for this practice in 2007 and the taped evidence from the Super Bowl XXXVI incident were inadvertently destroyed. Which raised suspicion…

Super Bowl XXXVI Logo prior to 9/11

Espionage in the game of football?? Everyone is worried about it. Why do you think there are closed practices? Teams practicing wearing numbers different than what they play with on game day. Lombardi’s Packers did this in case they were spied on. In fact before the 1958 NFL Championship Carroll Rosenbloom had a Colts staffer spy on the New York Giants practice, promising him a job for life if caught.

This overshdowed the defensive brilliance of Bill Belichick’s carbon copy of his old Giants defenses. His secondary was physical with all his defensive backs 200 lbs or heavier. SS Lawyer Milloy (6’0 200 lbs) was the new Myron Guyton (6’1 205 lbs) & Tebucky Jones (6-2 218 lbs) were where the Rams receivers were funnelled to and were punished if they survived Patriots Linebackers clogging those lanes.

Super Bowl XXXVI Logo after 9/11 with the date pushed into February.

One of the most telling plays of the game was when NFL MVP Kurt Warner had Torry Holt open up the left sideline. The Rams were desperate to get their offense going and knowing Tebucky Jones was coming from a Cover 2 Safety alignment, came up alligator armed and dropped the pass. Jones hit him full force anyway and the camera NFL Films had on Holt, you saw him take his eye off the ball and look at Jones coming instead of securing the catch.

That drop where he didnt want the smoke is the reason Holt hasn’t made the Pro Football Hall of Fame in The Chancellor’s estimation. It was a lasting image on a huge stage.

Yet the 1st Super Bowl TD of the Patriots dynasty catapulted CB Ty Law on his way to Canton. Midway through the 2nd quarter a hurried Warner threw an out Law jumped and took to the house. Now down 7-3 The Greatest Show on Turf was completely in scramble mode.

Belichick’s bunch had Mike Martz right where they wanted him. An Offensive genius falls in to the trap believing his finesse x’s & o’s will trump fundamental football and arrogantly pass, pass, pass. Leaving NFL Offensive Player of the Year Marshall Faulk on the tarmac having abandoned the run.

This team had been constructed to be a newer version of Bill Parcells & Bill Belichick’s Giants and came to full fruition in February 2002. They were a surprise champion with a Cinderella season where Tom Brady won “The Tuck Rule” game against the Raiders in 1 playoff game. To original starter Drew Bledsoe replacing an injured Brady to lead the Patriots to  a win in the AFC Championship Game in Pittsburgh.

For all the world this seemed like a one time champion as they fielded 7 defenders 30 years of age or older. CB Otis Smith (36), DE Willie McGinest (30), ILB Roman Phifer (33), LB Bryan Cox (33), DE Bobby Hamilton (30), DE Anthony Pleasant (33) and Nickle Corner Terrell Buckley (30). They would have to retool but this 1st championship Patriot team was built on defensive might.

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The New York Jets Should Trade for Jameis Winston

When you begin an NFL season 0-7 with a 1st year coach many pundits are turning to the possibility of a 1 and done year for Head Coach Aaron Glenn. The one thing that’s evident is Justin Fields isn’t an NFL quarterback and it’s tragic watching him misread defenses every week. He is a shot fighter whose fight or flight mechanism has been ruined and he can’t throw his receivers open. IF the Jets trot him out there to underwhelm at quarterback Glenn might be gone.

Right now other teams are licking their chops about to pounce on the Jets expecting a fire sale of their proven players which would retard this organization further. The blueprint for what they need to do was provided by Cincinnati just two weeks ago, trade for the most viable quarterback who would benefit from a change of scenery. With teams ridiculing the Browns for trading within not only their conference but their own division, this isn’t an option. Trade with the Giants (NFC) for Jameis Winston who now sits at #3 on the Giants depth chart.

Jaxson Dart just had a game where he came of age and solidified himself as the unquestioned starter for the Giants which validates his selection as a 1st round pick. With Russell Wilson as the #2 and making upwards of $20 million, Winston for half of his $4 million salary won’t be an issue for a team that is $37 million under the cap. Not only does it make fiscal sense Winston and his family wouldn’t even have to move.

The Cincinnati Joe Flacco blueprint just showed us a team flat on its ass after losing Joe Burrow to injury. They watched backup Jake Browning, who knew the playbook, but didn’t have the confidence or arm talent to throw their top flight receivers Tee Higgins or Ja’Marr Chase the football. All we saw were misreads that turned into checkdowns. A close look at the stats show his completion percentage (64.5%) is less than 1% different than Joe Flacco’s (65.2%). However he threw 8 interceptions in 2 starts and left a lot of plays on the field too scared to throw the football.

We watched Joe Flacco steady that offense and infuse confidence in the Bengals huddle. He infused belief and willingness to let go of the football throwing receivers open downfield. Chase & Higgins caught a combined 22 receptions for 257 yds & 2 TDs Thursday Night vs 15 receptions & 157 yards combined the week before in Green Bay. Chase did better in the game against the Steelers by himself than the two had againt the Packers with Browning at the helm. He had 16 receptions for 161 yards and 1 TD. Why? Flacco let the ball go when it was time to go downfield.

Are you telling me the Jets can’t do that with Jameis Winston and Garrett Wilson? Winston would like his final glimpse of glory and has grown into one of the most respected teammates at his last two stops. Have you seen how players gravitate to him as a man / player?

@saints

Everybody couldnt wait to hug Jameis ❤️ #NFLGameday #wholesome #Hug #Saints #LOVE #Sportsmanship

♬ jeans – 2hollis

Keep in mind this is a man who has won a Heisman Trophy and has thrown for 5,000 yards in an NFL season. He also won a National Championship Rose Bowl in college. Now his detractors point to his famous stat of 33TDSs & 30 interceptions but I can assure you Tyrod Taylor nor Justin Fields will throw for 5,000 yards if you gave them 2 seasons to do it. Lets face it bad scramble, check down, check down and punt for an NFL series is why the Jets are 0-7 in the 1st place. All this safe quarterbacking has the Jets staring at the NFL’s first ever 0-17 season in history. Something drastic has to be done.

Well he won that Natty 10 years ago someone may scoff but wasn’t it 12 years ago Joe Flacco won Super Bowl XLVII?? 47 and we’re 4 months away from the 60th Super Bowl (LX). Do you know how long ago that was? Two of Flacco’s teammates have been enshrined in Canton and he has lost 2 others (Jacoby Jones & Arthur Jones) However it’s muscle memory to having performed in that type of arena before that is the lure.

 

To be a starting quarterback in the NFL you have to have the belief and talent to lead a football team. You don’t accidentally command respect in a huddle and have teammates rally to play hard for you. Without a course correction Coach Glenn, your team is facing disaster with the present QBs on the roster. Make a move to get Jameis and play with a few leads so your defense can show it’s fangs. You’re on the verge of losing everything and now you need the moxie and downfield daring of a Jameis Winston to unlock your offense. Time to infuse some juice!

His 2024:

Aaron Glenn, the trade deadline is November 4th, quit reading this article and go call the Giants!

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Broncos 33-32 Over Giants: Nix & Dart Come Of Age

It was so frantic and we havent seen this before from Dart and only once before with Nix against the Eagles. Yet each score and we all felt “Hey __, you have to answer!” Each did and seriously Dart in his 2nd start on the road in Mile High of all places did not get overwhelmed. He threw on time and wasnt scared to take his shots.

Incredible Game

Nix matched him blow for blow and in an era of “scared check down quarterbacking” it felt like we were watching the 87 AFC Championship with Elway & Bernie Kosar all over again. Downfield second level throws. It ended on a high because neither made a mistake to cost his team the ballgame. Best game I have seen all year.

Each will grow from this as within each team’s psyche a sense of “we’re never out of a game with THIS quarterback” has to be coursing theough everyone’s minds. Its now muscle memory and these teams will recall in future moments when this confidence is required.

Monday Morning Musings 2025 Season Week 4: Young Guns

Well the first domino to fall in the replacement of a starting quarterback happened in New York this weekend. Jaxson Dart was the exlixir the Giants needed for their 21-18 upset of the undefeated Chargers. He kept a few plays alive with his legs but lets face it the young players were excited and juiced to play with him. His energy along with fellow rookie Cam Scattebo & Malik Nabers had the whole team playing with a swagger missing since the preseason.

Dart was 13 of 20 for 111 yards 1TD while rushing 10 times for 54 yards and New York’s first touchdown. You saw his teammates around him celebrating and sharing in his enthusiasm and it propelled them this Sunday. They played with a confidence and spirit the rest of the game and played like they knew they were going to win.

There will be growing pains as Offensive Coordinator Mike Kafka scaled back playcalling for #6. Its one of the reasons he did take 5 sacks in the game. However you could see clearly he was instructed to go short to his checkdowns once Nabers left injured. Yet this is who “checkdowns” are for… A young quarterback unsure of where to go with the football not a 14 year signal caller gun-shy to take hits who should have the moxie to audible to a better play.

Hopefully this new temperament won’t be quelled with the injury to Malik Nabers but is a clear reminder that players can be inspired to do great things based off emotion and camaraderie. Its a game that goes beyond “x’s & o’s”. Will players rally around their quarterback?? Does the team play together and want their teammates to ball out?  These questions were clearly on display in Gotham & this season now has some optimism for Coach Daboll.

By the way… how many Sundays are we going to keep watching the car wreck that is Cleveland’s offense under Joe Flacco?? Come on… 16, 17, 13, & 10 are the point totals through the 1st 4 games of the season. Averaging 14.75 points per game wouldn’t win you football games if we were back in the 1960’s unless you’re the NFL Champion 1963 Chicago Bears. Yet that team became legendary because of their #1 ranked defense.

Get this Cleveland’s defense is #1 against the run, 4th against the pass and #1 overall having allowed just 890 yards, well they’re 1-3 because Flacco has thrown for just 815 yards. Thats 18th in the league! Joe is 93 of 160 for 815 yards 2TDs and a whopping 6 interceptions. His 58.3% completion percentage ranks him at 31 while the Browns lead the league with 47 punts and have only scored 6TDs. Look Flacco was MVP of the 47th Super Bowl and we’re going to play the 60th edition in February.

He is a shot fighter and Father Time caught up to him 3 years ago and time to turn the reigns to Sheduer Sanders and see what he can do. Dillon Gabriel?? I watched him in the preseason and he is less athletic than “Tiny”Kyler Murray of the Cardinals & Bryce Young with the Carolina Panthers. Both of these guys won Heismans and have played poor enough their jobs are in jeopardy with the biggest reason…*drum roll* …they can’t see over the line with their short statures. Now at 5’11” and they’re being generous with that measurement, doesn’t engender confidence but they will go to him first.

Coach Kevin Stefanski you have an obligation to the other 52 players on the roster sacrificing for the team and you have a small window before you begin to lose that locker room. Especially with a defense that is playing up to a historic level. The team needs to see changes from you which show you’re trying to win now to keep them engaged. Not in your wildest dreams did you figure to have the same record as the loaded Baltimore Ravens but here you’re both 1-3 and your great defense is portable.

Knuckle up and called a scaled back offense like they’re doing in New York and give the ball to super rookie back Quinshon Judkins and play to your defense. You have a better defense and the Giants are the blueprint for what will work in Cleveland.  Time is ticking boss…

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